Long Term Projections
Please be aware that these projections are based on the housing policies contained in the South East Plan. However the Coalition Government revoked all Regional Strategies including the South East Plan in July 2010 and intends to abolish them as part of its Localism Bill. As a consequence the dwelling numbers brought forward in local planning documents may be different to those in the South East Plan and the population projections based on them will vary accordingly. In the meantime, and subject to the caveats above, these projections remain the best available.
Hampshire County Council produces The Long Term Projections.
They provide estimates of the population of individual districts within Hampshire (as well as the Unitary Authorities of Portsmouth and Southampton). They also provide estimates of the population of the sub-regions as defined by the South East Plan.
The population figures are broken down into age groups. They also provide estimates on the number of households by type and are projected until 2026.
The main assumption underlying these projections is that the number of dwellings built between 2006 and 2026 will be consistent with the numbers in the South East Plan. The period from 2001 to 2008 is based on actual dwellings completions.
There is a technical note that briefly explains the methodology for the projections.
A short summary report accompanies these forecasts called Long Term Projections of Hampshire's Demographic Future. It provides a graphical overview showing the current demographic picture of Hampshire as well as the projected trends to 2026.
To ensure the Long Term Projections meet your data needs, please take a look at the How to use Forecasts, Estimates and Projections page.
The methodology of the Long Term Population Projections is different to that used for the Small Area Population Forecasts (SAPF); as such, the two sets of figures are not directly comparable.
Formatting constraints mean that we can only produce the forecasts in Excel spreadsheet format. If you need help or if your computer cannot open spreadsheets in this format then please contact us.